Study 2 - Evaluation of climate change impacts and adaptation measures for rice cultivation in Northeast Thailand

Evaluation of climate change impacts and adaptation measures for rice cultivation in Northeast Thailand

by Mukand S. Babel, Anshul Agarwal, Dillip Kumar Swain, Srikantha Herath

  • Study investigates the impact of climate change on rainfed rice yield in Northeast Thailand.
  • Utilizes CERES-rice crop growth model to assess effects and identify agro-adaptation measures.
  • Calibrates the model using field experiment data from the region.
  • Develops future climate scenarios for three periods using ECHAM4 and PRECIS.
  • Projected yield reductions under ECHAM4 A2 scenario: 17.81% (2020s), 27.59% (2050s), 24.34% (2080s) compared to 1997-2006 average.
  • Rice varieties KDML105 and RD6 show increased yields with higher CO2 concentrations, but elevated temperatures reduce yields.
  • Nutrient management and adjusted planting dates can mitigate yield decrease under future climate.
  • Hybrid rice cultivars with high temperature tolerance can help address climate change challenges.

 

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